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歐洲天然氣價格波動
點擊次數：446 發表時間：2023-6-21
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中國石化新聞網
中國石化新聞網訊 據彭博社6月15日報道，歐洲天然氣價格連續第三天上漲，原因是整個歐洲大陸的長期停電和炎熱天氣引發了人們對其供應的擔憂。
天然氣基準期貨價格周四飆升17%，使該合約價格當周迄今的漲幅有望超過30%。不確定性給天然氣貿易前景蒙上了陰影，就在人們對全球液化天然氣競爭和持續高溫的擔憂加劇之際，挪威一些主要設施的工程作業維護將持續到7月。
歐洲已經擺脫了去年能源危機最糟糕的時期，天然氣儲備水平充足，這最初給人一種安全感，即歐洲將設法在明年冬天之前重新儲備足夠的燃料供應。但近幾周，對需求前景的質疑引發了價格波動。今年頭幾個月，工業用氣的低迷打壓了價格，但天氣開始變熱，推動了制冷需求。
咨詢公司Energy Aspects的歐洲天然氣和全球液化天然氣主管James Waddell表示，對歐洲液化天然氣供應和挪威天然氣供應中斷的擔憂是此次價格抬升的實際觸發因素，進入本月以來，很多市場都處于短缺狀態，價格上漲將引發停售，從而推動價格進一步走高。
在天然氣價格開始大幅上漲后，近期的價格波動也引發了對沖活動。
截至當天上午10點39分，歐洲基準的TTF近月天然氣價格上漲10.4%，至每兆瓦時42.30歐元。英國同等合約上漲10.7%。
洪偉立 摘譯自 彭博社
原文如下：
Europe Gas Fluctuates as Extended Outages Leave Traders on Edge
European natural gas prices jumped for a third consecutive day as prolonged outages and hot weather across the continent spark concerns over its supplies.
Benchmark futures soared as much as 17% on Thursday, putting the contract on track for a gain of over 30% so far this week. Uncertainty has clouded the outlook for gas traders, with works at some major Norwegian facilities set to continue into July, just as worries mount over global competition for liquefied natural gas and persistently higher temperatures.
Europe has emerged from the worst of last year’s energy crisis with ample gas storage levels, which initially provided a sense of security that it will manage to restock sufficient fuel supplies ahead of next winter. But questions over the demand outlook have sparked price volatility in recent weeks, with hotter weather settling in and driving cooling needs after subdued industrial gas use weighed on prices in the first months of the year.
Concerns about LNG supplies to Europe and Norwegian outages “have been the physical triggers,” said James Waddell, head of European gas and global LNG at consultant Energy Aspects Ltd. “But we have to remember that a lot of the market was short going into this month and price rises will have triggered stop-outs, thereby driving the price even higher.”
The recent volatility has also triggered hedging activity after the prices started steep advances.
Dutch front-month gas, the benchmark for Europe, was up 10.4% at $42.30 a megawatt-hour by 10:39 a.m. in Amsterdam. The UK equivalent contract added 10.7%.